Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 2.060778 2.348662 2.661922 3.028081 3.444338 3.902863 4.446345
2025-09-21 1.582592 1.967119 2.422368 3.001018 3.717096 4.574508 5.679862
2025-09-28 1.307079 1.724930 2.249270 2.955417 3.881902 5.056827 6.661733
2025-10-05 1.207921 1.674290 2.288088 3.154823 4.347783 5.933426 8.204374
2025-10-12 1.074078 1.553768 2.211830 3.180177 4.569653 6.493465 9.364457
2025-10-19 0.993302 1.492922 2.204219 3.290218 4.907595 7.230144 10.825972
2025-10-26 0.891114 1.387105 2.117642 3.271339 5.049109 7.688659 11.915136
2025-11-02 0.807267 1.298101 2.044176 3.259898 5.193353 8.154223 13.045309
2025-11-09 0.724250 1.200661 1.946518 3.198109 5.248411 8.480526 13.977918
2025-11-16 0.673591 1.149203 1.914802 3.235540 5.460236 9.064171 15.364737
2025-11-23 0.629380 1.103453 1.886983 3.274602 5.674568 9.664266 16.823430
2025-11-30 0.579395 1.042646 1.827849 3.253763 5.783052 10.092870 18.021432
2025-12-07 0.522518 0.968064 1.744824 3.195471 5.842191 10.478069 19.246653
2025-12-14 0.475475 0.906958 1.680700 3.166795 5.955740 10.977193 20.742619
2025-12-21 0.431560 0.846461 1.610790 3.118693 6.025890 11.399882 22.132053
2025-12-28 0.426248 0.858525 1.675549 3.329060 6.599798 12.799072 25.495899
2026-01-04 0.398498 0.823563 1.647186 3.355808 6.820637 13.549070 27.671005
2026-01-11 0.383507 0.812429 1.663618 3.471896 7.227411 14.692178 30.731918
2026-01-18 0.355361 0.771165 1.615739 3.451980 7.355246 15.291567 32.738883
2026-01-25 0.330719 0.734666 1.573883 3.439910 7.496917 15.929112 34.882018
2026-02-01 0.303536 0.689828 1.510212 3.374725 7.518460 16.317258 36.525812
2026-02-08 0.287895 0.668890 1.495442 3.414213 7.770180 17.213259 39.359559
2026-02-15 0.273606 0.649524 1.482166 3.455422 8.028861 18.145509 42.359433